Manchester United enter Sunday's clash at Anfield with a surprising statistical advantage that offers hope amid their mid-table struggles. Despite sitting in 13th position with a negative goal difference, the Red Devils lead the Premier League in expected goals (xG) with 13.6 - significantly higher than title contenders Arsenal (11.9) and Liverpool (10.9).
The disparity between expectation and reality tells the story of United's frustrating season under Ruben Amorim. They have converted just nine actual goals from their league-leading xG total, underlining persistent finishing problems that have cost them crucial points against Fulham, Arsenal, Brentford and Manchester City.
Pressure mounts on Amorim
Amorim faces intense scrutiny over his job security, with United managing just three wins from seven league matches this season. However, Sir Jim Ratcliffe has given the Portuguese manager public backing, stating he needs three years to prove himself at Old Trafford.
The new signings of Benjamin Sesko, Bryan Mbeumo and Matheus Cunha represent Amorim's vision for revitalising United's attack. While all three have managed four goal involvements so far, with Cunha yet to register a goal or assist, the underlying numbers suggest improvement could come rapidly.
Daunting Anfield challenge
United's trip to Anfield presents a formidable test, with the club having not won there since 2015. The aggregate score stands at 18-3 in Liverpool's favour across their last seven meetings at the famous ground.
However, Liverpool enter the match having suffered three consecutive defeats under Arne Slot, providing United with an unexpected opportunity. The timing could be perfect for Amorim to finally see his tactical philosophy click into place and deliver the performance that matches their underlying statistics.
Sources used: "Mirror", "Manchester Evening News", "Independent"
Note: This article has been edited with the help of Artificial Intelligence.